House Republicans are now facing long shot prospects for the fall. From Politico:
Internal Democratic surveys in recent weeks have shown tight races in once-solid GOP seats in Indiana, Texas, Michigan, Ohio and Montana that Trump carried handily 2016 — data that suggest the battleground is veering in a dangerous direction for the GOP
“Republicans were jolted by the fact that a lot of white suburban voters abandoned them. The question now is whether that trend will continue,” said former Rep. Carlos Curbelo (R-Fla.), who lost reelection in 2018. “If it does, it could endanger some of those districts, particularly in the Midwest.”
One party member in a competitive district declared, “The DCCC’s candidates are printing money, and the president’s falling poll numbers are devastating to Republicans across the map. That’s why McCarthy and the NRCC need to hold the line and focus on saving incumbents first.”
As veteran Republican operative Mike DuHaime claimed, “The fact that the polling is close has got to be troubling in a lot of those districts, and the incumbents in those districts can’t view themselves as too safe,.”Plus he added, “If they are forcing Republicans to spend money there on defense, rather than spending money on offense, it’s smart.”
Though NRCC spokesperson Chris Pack expressed, “These polls being peddled by the DCCC are the same nonsense polls they peddled in ’16 and ’18 that routinely missed the mark by 10-15 points and should be taken with a grain of salt.”
But a leading GOP pollster said, “Everything is extremely competitive for the Democrats. This is 2006-2008 all over again, where the voters punished the party in power, which in ’06 was Republicans, and in ’18 was Republicans. They didn’t say, ‘OK, we’re done,’ after ’06. There was continued punishment.” And stressed, “If you’re in Vegas, betting, you’re going to bet on Democrats picking up more seats right now than Republicans.”
The fact is they still need to let this play out.